'Communicating to the necessities of the saints.' -Romans 12:13 (ASV)
Vol. VIII #15 | August 1 - 14, 2020
News & Notable
Photo (L): Live-Streamed. Churches, such as Cornerstone - West Los Angeles (L), and schools (public and private) remain closed to in-person services or classes per state orders. -Photo InterChurch News
COVID-19 Case Fatality Ratio (CFR): Aug. 12
C = Cases (inc. recoveries, deaths), D = Deaths
COVID to COVID: The CDC PIC (Pneumonia, Influenza, Covid-19) epidemic threshold is 5.8%; figures in parenthesis indicate the Case Fatality Ratio.
Photo (L): Masks are Back. -Photos InterChurch News
COVID-19 News & Resource Page
'Our goal is simple, we want to bend the curve, and disrupt the spread of the virus.' -California Governor Gavin Newsom, March 19, 2020.
'... the vast majority of those infected [with COVID-19] get only mild cases that often resemble the flu ... the general advice for people who get sick with the flu or coronavirus is very similiar: rest and drink plenty of fluids.' -'Your Nose Itches: Is it Allergies, Flu or the Coronavirus?' -New York Times, March 17, April 27, 2020
'For most people, the new coronavirus causes mild or moderate symptoms ... that clear up in two to three weeks. For some, especially older adults and people with existing health problems ... it can cause ... pneumonia or death.' -'Hundreds Protest Against Stay-at-Home Order,' Associated Press, May 25, 2020
WHAT CAN I DO TODAY IN CALIFORNIA?
Stay Home Order | Day: 148 (4 months -- 28 days)
(Includes guidelines re essential workforce, schools, shopping, indoor/outdoor church services, political protests, visiting family and friends)
Latest State, Riverside County Public Health COVID-19 News:
Proponents of Hydroxchloroquine Treatment and/or Reopening the Economy (uncensored)
Photo (above): Don't Drive. Perhaps in California we shouldn't drive at all. -Photo Jacob E. Sloane/InterChurch News
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
Translating Doublespeak: Comparing Weeks 27, 28 and 29 of CDC's PIC Mortality Percentages (or '12 weeks of declining COVID-19 deaths')
CDC Director: 'It is critically important for our public health to open schools this fall.' -July 23
Ed. note: COVIDView Week 27 report (ending July 4) states the U.S. is in the 11th week of decline in PIC-related deaths (Pneumonia, Influenza and COVID-19). CDC states the PIC mortality rate is 5.5% -- and is below the 5.8% epidemic threshold. Notable however, is that the CDC recently reset the bar of an 'epidemic threshold' from a flu or disease spread of 7.3/7.2 % to the current 5.8% ratio. The 'epidemic threshold' now represents PIC DEATHS compared to ALL DEATHS in the U.S. (apples and oranges) -- instead of a traditional confirmed COVID-19 cases to confirmed COVID-19 deaths (apples and apples).
COVID-19 to COVID-19: To check the epidemic threshold, for example, of the July 13 U.S. COVID-19 case vs. death count: divide 3,296,599 cases by 5.8% = 191,202 deaths to reach epidemic threshold. However, 134,844 was the actual COVID-19 death count -- 56,000 deaths short of epidemic status. If the CDC's prior 2019 flu epidemic threshold of 7.3% was the applied standard, the COVID-19 U.S. death count would have to hit 240,651 (3,296,599 x 7.3%) to be considered an epidemic.
For July 13th, California reported 329,162 COVID-19 cases ('cases' include current cases, recoveries and deaths). With the CDC's new 5.8% epidemic threshold standard, it would take 19,091 coronavirus deaths to declare an epidemic -- by CDC standards -- in California. However, the total COVID-19 mortality rate was reported at 7,040 -- nearly two-thirds short of an epidemic threshold.
U.S. Flu News
Go Green: ILI (Influenza-like Illness) includes COVID-19 data of medical visits with flu-like symptoms (temperature of 100 degrees or greater, a cough, sore throat).
Ed. note: Looking back with 20/20 vision at the 2017-2018 flu season, CDC estimates the U.S. saw 810,000 flu-hospitalizations, 45 million flu-like illnesses and 80,000 flu-related deaths (revised to 61,000 in April 2020) -- in hindsight should California and the rest of the Union have issued 'shelter-in-place' orders for its essentially healthy workers -- or required schools and churches to be closed?
Moreno Valley Mall, 11:30 a.m., Thursday, July 16, 2020
Press Releases, Articles:
Moreno Valley Mall, 11:30 a.m., Thursday, July 16, 2020
-Governor Gavin Newsom, March 19, 2020 Executive Order N-33-20 (Stay Home)
May 6th: Congratulations Riverside County -- we Flattened the Curve!
On March 15th Riverside County Public Health
clarified 'the one goal' of local COVID-19 Orders:
Graph (above): The COVID-19 Projections model released March 31 by Riverside County Public Health reinforced the state and local 'flatten the curve' stay-at-home orders.
Riverside, Calif., InterChurch News, April 29, 2020.
The Riverside County Public Health COVID-19 Projections model released March 31 forecast 60,000+ cases, 1000 deaths, 3000 ICU beds needed, 9,000 hospitalizations -- by May 6.
The April 29 COVID-19 statistics for Riverside County: 3,942 confirmed cases, 143 deaths, 78 patients in ICU and 215 currently hospitalized.
Riverside County has flattened the curve -- the goal for the initial March stay-at-home, no-gatherings, wear-a-mask local and state orders.
Of course, for those who are in the hospital, or suffered the loss of a loved one, statistics don't mean much. But to the citizens and undocumented who have been under stay-at-home orders, have businesess, jobs, children and bills to pay -- the statistics are encouraging that life can (at least) begin to be normalized in Riverside County soon.
Dr. Cameron Kaiser, the Riverside County public health officer who issued historic restrictive orders since March encompasing limited to no-public gatherings (including religious services), stay-at-home, face masks, social distancing, school closures, drive-in church services, sit-in dining services, funeral service limitations ... deserves credit (compare Riverside County COVID-19 statistics to New York City:12,287 confirmed deaths, 159,865 cases and 41,316 hospitalized to date).
And the 2.4 million Riverside County residents who sacrificed work, school, church (and other religious gatherings) and recreation since the middle of March deserve credit -- and consideration -- as well.
Moreno Valley Mall, 11:30 a.m. Thursday, July 16, 2020
COVID-19 Local News:
April 30. The County of Riverside health order prohibiting gatherings outside the home will expire at the end of today.
Beginning tomorrow -- May 1 -- the county will fall soley under the governor's stay-at-home order as it pertains to no gatherings -- and is extending the face coverings and a six-foot social distance requirements through June 19.
Govenor Gavin Newsom's stay-at-home order does not have an expiration date.
'While we work with the governor's plan for re-opening the state, people must be mindful that COVID-19 has not been eliminated,' said Dr. Cameron Kaiser, Riverside County Public Health Officer.
'The new normal in Riverside County will still require social distancing, facial coverings and other precautions,' Kaiser said.
Kaiser's orders closing all Riverside County schools and limiting short-term lodging until June 19 remain in effect. The initial all school closure order isssued March 13 was in effect from March 16 to April 3.
The governor's order states that all California residents must stay home unless engaged in an essential business or activity, such as grocery shopping or visiting the doctor. Drive-in church services were clarified as an essential service -- in-person religious services are still not allowed.
When the governor releases the stay-at-home order, Riverside County will be ready to move into the governor's second phase of reopening businesses.
'As we begin to turn the corner, it is important that we also flatten the unemployment curve and work towards economic and social recovery,' said V. Manuel Perez, Riverside County Fourth District Supervisor and Board Chair.
The no gathering, stay-at-home orders were necessary to 'flatten the curve' and slow the spread of the illness, which threatened to severely impact the county's health system.
Riverside County projected over 60,000 COVID cases by early May with 9,000 hospitalizations and 1000 deaths. With 48,531 persons tested in the county as of April 29, less than 4,000 COVID-19 cases have been confirmed with 215 patients currently hospitalized and 143 deaths reported.
-Compiled from RIVCO Public Health news release dated April 29 and previous RIVCO reports
April 24. An increasing number of requests for resources has moved Riverside County to release an online map -- and app -- to connect residents to food resources.
Food Access gives directions to local senior meal sites, school district meal sites and food pantries within a 10-mile radius of an inquirers zip code.
The map also includes relevant details such as hours of operation, contact information and special populations served.
'Thank you to all the organizations that are making sure there is a safety net and our residents have food to eat,' stated V. Manuel Perez, Riverside County Board Chair and Fourth District Supervisor.
As COVID-19 continues to cause uncertainty in the job market, many local organizations have introduced temporary food pantries. New food providers can email EOCMassCare@rivco.org to be added to the map.
Food Access is available on www.rivcoph.org/coronavirus and on the RivCoMobile app (available on iOS and Android).
-Compiled from RIVCO Public Health new release dated April 23.
April 22. Private and public golf courses closed April 2 in Riverside County because of the COVID-19 pandemic will be allowed to operate -- but with restrictions under a revised order issued Monday. Social distancing and face coverings are still required.
Golf (and tennis) shall be limited to foursomes. No caddies. No large gatherings, including fundraisers or tournaments will be permited before June 20, 2020. No in-person dining will be allowed in clubhouses.
Face coverings, such as scarves, bandanas and neck gaiters shall be worn by players and workers.
Other outdoor activities allowed include hiking, biking and equestrian activities and other non-contact outdoor activities. Outdoor activities that remain prohibited include the use of picnic tables, playgrounds, team sports or other similar public events and gatherings.
'Play is being cautiously reopened for observation,' said Dr. Cameron Kaiser, Riverside County public health officer.
The order became effective April 20 after it was signed by Kaiser. The county clarified parks and trails remain open -- including parking lots.
'Golf is an iconic part of our destination, our history and our economy,' said Scott White, chief operating officer of Greater Palm Springs Convention and Visitors Bureau. 'We sincerely appreciate the news that golf will be reopened to allow our residents the opportunity to return to the sport they love.'
-Compiled from RIVCO Public Health news release dated April 20.
April 18. Riverside County residents who do not have coronavirus symptoms but want to be tested will now be able to. Officials say expanded testing will give health experts a better idea of the extent of the illness in Riverside County.
Those who want to be tested must call 800.945-6171 for an appointment -- drive-ups without appointments will be turned away.
A fifth testing site has been added at the Blythe Fairgrounds. The other four County testing site locations are Riverside County Fairgrounds in Indio (Tuesdays -Saturdays), Diamond Stadium in Lake Elsinore (Sundays-Thursdays), Harvest Christian Fellowship parking lot in Riverside (Tuesdays-Saturdays) and the Perris Fairgrounds (Tuesdays-Saturdays).
-Compiled from RIVCO Public Health news release dated April 17.
COVID-19 Local PH News Releases: (Extensive list of PH orders, CDC News Release History)
July 10: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-32, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-629, Deaths-27; Lake Elsinore: Cases-450, Deaths-10; Menifee: Cases-492, Deaths-7; Moreno Valley: Cases-2,232, Deaths-38; Murrieta: Cases-473, Deaths-10; Perris: Cases-795, Deaths-17; Riverside: Cases-3,387, Deaths-139; Temecula: Cases-420, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-198, Deaths-5. Ten City statistics: Cases-9,108, Deaths-253.
June 3: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-12, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-282, Deaths-21; Lake Elsinore: Cases-180, Deaths-8; Menifee: Cases-180, Deaths-6; Moreno Valley: Cases-833, Deaths-24; Murrieta: Cases-124, Deaths-7; Perris: Cases-348, Deaths-7; Riverside: Cases-1393, Deaths-106; Temecula: Cases-150, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-66, Deaths-4. Ten City statistics: Cases-3,578, Deaths-183.
May 22: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-12, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-241, Deaths-19; Lake Elsinore: Cases-153, Deaths-8; Menifee: Cases-147, Deaths-5; Moreno Valley: Cases-702, Deaths-22; Murrieta: Cases-115, Deaths-6; Perris: Cases-288, Deaths-5; Riverside: Cases-1,156, Deaths-86; Temecula: Cases-132, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-61, Deaths-4. Ten City statistics: Cases-3,007, Deaths-155.
May 11: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-12, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-213, Deaths-14; Lake Elsinore: Cases-119, Deaths-7; Menifee: Cases-129, Deaths-4; Moreno Valley: Cases-588, Deaths-17; Murrieta: Cases-106, Deaths-4; Perris: Cases-232, Deaths-4; Riverside: Cases-961, Deaths-67; Temecula: Cases-111, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-58, Deaths-4. Ten City statistics: Cases-2,529, Deaths-121.
April 24: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-9, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-162, Deaths-8; Lake Elsinore: Cases-87, Deaths-2; Menifee: Cases-97, Deaths-3; Moreno Valley: Cases-342, Deaths-13; Murrieta: Cases-89, Deaths-3; Perris: Cases-138, Deaths-2; Riverside: Cases-597, Deaths-25; Temecula: Cases-88, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-42, Deaths-2. Ten City statistics: Cases-1,651, Deaths-58.
April 17: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-8, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-106, Deaths-3; Lake Elsinore: Cases-72, Deaths-2; Menifee: Cases-79, Deaths-1; Moreno Valley: Cases-249, Deaths-8; Murrieta: Cases-69, Deaths-2; Perris: Cases-99, Deaths-0; Riverside (City): Cases-407, Deaths-14; Temecula: Cases-78, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-30, Deaths-2. Ten City statistics: Cases-1,197, Deaths-32.
April 12: Ten City Regional: Canyon Lake: Cases-4, Deaths-0; Hemet: Cases-31, Deaths-0; Lake Elsinore: Cases-51, Deaths-1; Menifee: Cases-50, Deaths-1; Moreno Valley: Cases-143, Deaths-4; Murrieta: Cases-52, Deaths-1; Perris: Cases-49, Deaths-0; Riverside (City): Cases-223, Deaths-6, Temecula: Cases-59, Deaths-0; Wildomar: Cases-24, Deaths-1. Ten City statistics: Cases-686, Deaths-14.
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